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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-25 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,861.42 (+5.8%) | 3.6 | 0.6% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 39% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 8% ±8 | 43% ±34 | 66% ±54 | 89% | 1.2d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,688.37–4,706.32 (+2.1%) | 1.3 | 2.3% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 71% ±28 | 41% ±22 | 8% ±12 | 51% ±22 | 19 | 45% ±12 | 71% ±27 | 85% ±35 | 93% ±36 | 6h | 1.80% | 2.51% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,604.75–4,652.88 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 3.1% | 16h | 1.5d ago · 83× | 85% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 78% ±18 | 84% ±36 | 96% | 96% | 1h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| at post · 4,593.78 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,187.67–4,348.09 (-5.3%) | 3.3 | 2.5% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 40% ±43 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 12% ±12 | 41% ±43 | 51% ±69 | 58% | 1.5d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 30 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,288.91–4,297.88 (-6.4%) | 4.0 | 6.6% | 2.0d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 29% ±24 | 59% ±23 | 6% ±11 | 36% ±23 | 17 | 5% ±5 | 29% ±24 | 50% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 2.2d | 3.25% | 1.53% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-8.5%) | 5.3 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 59× | 24% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±5 | 24% ±26 | 44% ±56 | 51% | 4.0d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,931.01–4,123.51 (-10.2%) | 6.4 | 1.1% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 14% ±15 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±15 | 22% ±31 | 27% ±51 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 125 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,060 (-11.6%) | 7.2 | 0.6% | 5h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 7% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±10 | 13% ±24 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | — | — | 142 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,818.72 (-16.9%) | 11 | 4.6% | 1.5d | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 95 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.