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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-28 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,861.42 (+9.1%) | 8.9 | 0.3% | 1h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 7% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 7% ±13 | 35% ±47 | 83% ±52 | 3.5d | — | — | 77 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,732.17 (+6.2%) | 6.1 | 2.2% | 18h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 26% ±22 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 26% ±21 | 49% ±44 | 98% ±21 | 3.1d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 96 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,634.51 (+4.0%) | 3.9 | 2.7% | 17h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 39% ±29 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 9% ±7 | 40% ±29 | 78% ±41 | 94% ±33 | 1.4d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,593.11 (+3.0%) | 3.0 | 3.0% | 21h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 38% ±39 | 56% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 8% ±9 | 39% ±39 | 56% ±69 | 97% | 2.6d | 2.29% | 1.63% | 37 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,476.42–4,492.46 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 2.1% | 14h | 1.4d ago · 83× | 79% ±36 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 71% ±15 | 80% ±32 | 94% ±32 | 94% | 1h | 2.69% | 1.55% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,457.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,187.67–4,348.09 (-2.5%) | 2.4 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 41% ±39 | 44% ±25 | 28% ±23 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 19% ±12 | 47% ±37 | 67% ±65 | 72% | 1.1d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-3.4%) | 3.3 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 36% ±30 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 8% ±7 | 35% ±30 | 52% ±57 | 56% | 2.1d | 3.17% | 1.89% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,266.13 (-4.3%) | 4.2 | 3.3% | 22h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 16% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±17 | 25% ±35 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-5.7%) | 5.6 | 2.4% | 16h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 15% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±19 | 31% ±41 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 83 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,914.97–4,123.51 (-7.5%) | 7.4 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 7% ±11 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±10 | 15% ±25 | 21% ±46 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 141 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,027.26 (-9.6%) | 9.5 | 0.4% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.