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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-29 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,861.42 (+8.5%) | 9.4 | 0.3% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 7% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 34% ±46 | 84% ±51 | 3.5d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,724.65 (+5.5%) | 6.0 | 2.0% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 28% ±22 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 4% ±4 | 27% ±21 | 49% ±40 | 98% ±21 | 3.1d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 99 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,634.51 (+3.4%) | 3.8 | 2.4% | 16h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 41% ±30 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 9% ±7 | 41% ±29 | 75% ±42 | 93% ±35 | 1.4d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 65 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,593.11 (+2.5%) | 2.8 | 2.7% | 19h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 38% ±39 | 56% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 12% ±10 | 39% ±36 | 58% ±68 | 98% | 2.4d | 2.29% | 1.63% | 40 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,524.55–4,652.88 (+1.0%) | 1.1 | 1.9% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 83× | 73% ±33 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 56% ±14 | 75% ±30 | 92% ±31 | 92% | 3h | 2.69% | 1.55% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,480.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,187.67–4,348.09 (-2.9%) | 3.3 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 38% ±39 | 44% ±25 | 28% ±23 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 13% ±10 | 45% ±37 | 66% ±66 | 70% | 1.2d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 43 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-3.9%) | 4.3 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 24% ±23 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 4% ±4 | 23% ±22 | 37% ±42 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 3.17% | 1.89% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,266.13 (-4.8%) | 5.3 | 3.0% | 20h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 10% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±12 | 19% ±27 | 43% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 137 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-6.2%) | 6.8 | 2.1% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 9% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±14 | 22% ±33 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | — | — | 99 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,914.97–4,123.51 (-8.0%) | 8.8 | 0.5% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 5% ±8 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 9% ±19 | 17% ±37 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 154 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,043.3 (-9.7%) | 11 | 0.4% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 120 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.