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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-30 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,813.3 (+10.4%) | 12 | 0.7% | 4h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 6% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 28% ±40 | 83% ±52 | 4.1d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,648.48 (+6.6%) | 7.4 | 1.8% | 9h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 12% ±18 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±17 | 37% ±42 | 99% ±15 | 4.0d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,625.53 (+6.1%) | 6.8 | 2.4% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 23% ±20 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±4 | 23% ±19 | 58% ±40 | 99% ±11 | 2.2d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,588.75 (+5.2%) | 5.9 | 2.6% | 19h | 4.0d ago · 104× | 11% ±25 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±5 | 11% ±23 | 43% ±69 | 98% | 3.9d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 39 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,540.59–4,636.84 (+4.1%) | 4.7 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 56% ±56 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 5% ±10 | 55% ±56 | 75% | 75% | 1.0d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 18 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,359.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,332.27 (-0.6%) | 0.7 | 2.9% | 19h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 53% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 56% ±20 | 60% ±48 | 69% | 82% | 2h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-1.2%) | 1.4 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 85× | 64% ±33 | 56% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 43% ±13 | 63% ±32 | 76% ±48 | 86% | 9h | 3.47% | 1.85% | 54 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-3.6%) | 4.0 | 2.1% | 13h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 29% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±6 | 27% ±29 | 43% ±56 | 45% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,155.59 (-4.7%) | 5.3 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 19% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±7 | 16% ±36 | 16% | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.34–4,107.47 (-5.8%) | 6.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 9% ±12 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±11 | 17% ±26 | 22% ±40 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 147 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.