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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-30 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,797.25 (+10.5%) | 13 | 0.8% | 5h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 5% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 5% ±12 | 28% ±44 | 84% ±51 | 4.1d | — | — | 77 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,648.48 (+7.1%) | 8.7 | 1.6% | 9h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 6% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±12 | 32% ±41 | 99% ±15 | 4.3d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,625.53 (+6.5%) | 8.1 | 2.2% | 15h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 21% ±19 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 20% ±18 | 55% ±40 | 99% ±11 | 2.6d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,588.75 (+5.7%) | 7.0 | 2.4% | 17h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 8% ±22 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±20 | 41% ±68 | 98% | 3.4d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 41 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,540.59–4,636.84 (+4.6%) | 5.6 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 83× | 59% ±56 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 5% ±10 | 58% ±56 | 89% | 89% | 23h | 2.69% | 1.55% | 18 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,342 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,332.27 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.7% | 18h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 64% ±66 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 68% ±22 | 68% ±53 | 75% | 82% | 1h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 3.4% | 24h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 72% ±31 | 56% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 55% ±13 | 68% ±30 | 77% ±47 | 85% | 7h | 3.47% | 1.85% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-3.2%) | 3.9 | 1.9% | 12h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 31% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±6 | 29% ±28 | 42% ±56 | 44% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,155.59 (-4.3%) | 5.3 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 17% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±7 | 15% ±31 | 15% ±50 | 15% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.34–4,107.47 (-5.4%) | 6.7 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 9% ±11 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±11 | 16% ±25 | 21% ±46 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 143 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.