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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-31 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,781.21 (+7.1%) | 8.9 | 1.3% | 11h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 6% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±12 | 30% ±40 | 80% ±56 | 4.8d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,648.48 (+4.1%) | 5.2 | 1.7% | 9h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 32% ±22 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 32% ±21 | 52% ±40 | 98% ±18 | 2.8d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 114 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,625.53 (+3.6%) | 4.5 | 2.3% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 32% ±24 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 5% ±4 | 31% ±23 | 70% ±40 | 96% ±29 | 1.8d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 96 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,588.75 (+2.8%) | 3.5 | 2.4% | 17h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 34% ±35 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 6% ±7 | 32% ±32 | 52% ±57 | 98% | 2.8d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 46 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,540.59–4,636.84 (+1.7%) | 2.1 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 83× | 57% ±37 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 15% ±11 | 59% ±36 | 71% ±63 | 71% | 15h | 2.69% | 1.55% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,465.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,339.29 (-2.8%) | 3.6 | 2.6% | 20h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 23% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 5% ±4 | 23% ±20 | 37% ±39 | 55% ±69 | 5.3d | — | — | 99 → 2 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-3.5%) | 4.5 | 3.4% | 24h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 27% ±23 | 56% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±4 | 27% ±23 | 54% ±44 | 60% ±68 | 4.5d | 3.47% | 1.85% | 83 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-5.9%) | 7.4 | 1.9% | 12h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 6% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±11 | 16% ±29 | 23% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 109 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 4,155.59 (-6.9%) | 8.7 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.34–4,107.47 (-8.0%) | 10 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 3% ±7 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±17 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 160 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.