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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-31 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,781.21 (+7.1%) | 10 | 1.1% | 9h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 6% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±12 | 27% ±39 | 82% ±53 | 4.3d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,648.48 (+4.2%) | 6.1 | 1.4% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 24% ±20 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 23% ±19 | 44% ±40 | 99% ±11 | 3.7d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,625.53 (+3.6%) | 5.4 | 1.9% | 13h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 28% ±21 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±4 | 28% ±21 | 65% ±38 | 96% ±22 | 1.8d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 105 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,588.75 (+2.8%) | 4.1 | 2.1% | 15h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 16% ±27 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 4% ±6 | 15% ±25 | 42% ±56 | 98% | 4.3d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 46 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,540.59–4,636.84 (+1.7%) | 2.6 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 83× | 63% ±39 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 14% ±11 | 61% ±36 | 70% ±63 | 70% | 15h | 2.69% | 1.55% | 40 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,463.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,339.29 (-2.8%) | 4.1 | 2.2% | 17h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 19% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±17 | 34% ±38 | 55% ±56 | 5.3d | — | — | 112 → 3 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-3.5%) | 5.1 | 2.9% | 20h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 22% ±20 | 56% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±20 | 45% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 5.6d | 3.47% | 1.85% | 96 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-5.8%) | 8.6 | 1.6% | 10h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 12% ±24 | 20% ±45 | > 7d | — | — | 124 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 4,155.59 (-6.9%) | 10 | 0.7% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 114 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.34–4,107.47 (-8.0%) | 12 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 8% ±26 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 158 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.