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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-31 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,765.17 (+6.2%) | 9.5 | 1.3% | 10h | 22.2d ago · 44× | 6% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±11 | 27% ±39 | 80% ±55 | 4.8d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,648.48 (+3.6%) | 5.5 | 1.4% | 7h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 28% ±21 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 28% ±20 | 48% ±40 | 97% ±18 | 3.5d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 113 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,625.53 (+3.1%) | 4.7 | 1.9% | 12h | 4.1d ago · 70× | 30% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±4 | 30% ±22 | 66% ±38 | 95% ±29 | 1.9d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 102 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,588.75 (+2.3%) | 3.5 | 2.0% | 15h | 4.0d ago · 104× | 32% ±32 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 6% ±7 | 30% ±32 | 49% ±57 | 98% | 3.3d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 49 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,540.59–4,636.84 (+1.2%) | 1.8 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 61% ±36 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 22% ±12 | 59% ±34 | 73% ±50 | 73% | 13h | 2.69% | 1.55% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,487.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,346.32 (-3.1%) | 4.8 | 2.0% | 17h | 3.7d ago · 85× | 14% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±14 | 28% ±31 | 50% ±57 | > 7d | — | — | 136 → 3 |
| 14D POC | 4,306.86 (-4.0%) | 6.2 | 2.9% | 20h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 21% ±20 | 56% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 20% ±20 | 36% ±42 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 3.47% | 1.85% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,291.94 (-4.4%) | 6.7 | 3.0% | 22h | 3.8d ago · 72× | 13% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±22 | 41% ±56 | 56% | 4.4d | — | — | 55 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-6.3%) | 9.7 | 1.6% | 9h | 3.7d ago · 59× | 3% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±20 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 147 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 4,155.59 (-7.4%) | 11 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | — | — | 141 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.34–4,107.47 (-8.5%) | 13 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 6% ±23 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 153 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.