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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-31 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,765.17 (+6.6%) | 10 | 1.3% | 11h | 22.2d ago · 44× | 6% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 27% ±39 | 81% ±54 | 4.7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,648.48 (+4.0%) | 6.1 | 1.4% | 7h | 4.1d ago · 97× | 23% ±19 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±19 | 42% ±39 | 97% ±19 | 3.9d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 113 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,625.53 (+3.5%) | 5.3 | 1.9% | 12h | 4.1d ago · 70× | 28% ±21 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±4 | 27% ±21 | 63% ±39 | 96% ±23 | 1.9d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 108 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,588.75 (+2.7%) | 4.1 | 2.1% | 15h | 3.9d ago · 104× | 19% ±27 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 6% ±6 | 18% ±25 | 41% ±56 | 98% | 4.3d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 51 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,540.59–4,636.84 (+1.6%) | 2.4 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 60% ±36 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 13% ±10 | 57% ±37 | 70% ±63 | 70% | 16h | 2.69% | 1.55% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,468.78 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,353.35 (-2.6%) | 3.9 | 1.8% | 16h | 3.7d ago · 85× | 20% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±18 | 34% ±38 | 55% ±56 | 5.5d | — | — | 109 → 3 |
| 14D POC | 4,306.86 (-3.6%) | 5.5 | 2.9% | 20h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 25% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 24% ±20 | 44% ±40 | 51% ±69 | 6.6d | 3.47% | 1.85% | 99 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,291.94 (-4.0%) | 6.0 | 3.1% | 23h | 3.8d ago · 72× | 16% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±3 | 16% ±23 | 45% ±56 | 62% | 3.2d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-5.9%) | 9.0 | 1.6% | 10h | 3.7d ago · 59× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 11% ±24 | 19% ±44 | > 7d | — | — | 134 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 4,155.59 (-7.0%) | 11 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 124 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.34–4,107.47 (-8.1%) | 12 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 8% ±26 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 159 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.