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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-01 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,749.13 (+8.1%) | 11 | 1.6% | 15h | 22.0d ago · 44× | 6% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±12 | 26% ±38 | 81% ±54 | 4.3d | — | — | 91 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,644.24 (+5.7%) | 8.0 | 1.7% | 9h | 3.9d ago · 97× | 7% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±12 | 30% ±40 | 99% ±14 | 4.7d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,625.53 (+5.3%) | 7.4 | 2.0% | 13h | 3.9d ago · 70× | 20% ±18 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±17 | 52% ±37 | 99% ±10 | 2.8d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,589.74 (+4.5%) | 6.3 | 2.2% | 15h | 3.7d ago · 104× | 9% ±21 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±19 | 40% ±56 | 98% | 3.8d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 48 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,540.59–4,636.84 (+3.3%) | 4.7 | 1.7% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 45% ±56 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 4% ±8 | 43% ±49 | 63% | 63% | 1.6d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 24 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,393.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,384.73 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 12h | 3.5d ago · 85× | 71% ±51 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 71% ±20 | 71% ±51 | 76% | 83% | 1h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-2.0%) | 2.8 | 3.1% | 21h | 3.6d ago · 85× | 42% ±32 | 56% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 12% ±9 | 42% ±32 | 68% ±53 | 78% | 1.4d | 3.47% | 1.85% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-4.3%) | 6.1 | 1.7% | 10h | 3.5d ago · 59× | 11% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±15 | 23% ±34 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | — | — | 102 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 4,155.59 (-5.4%) | 7.6 | 0.7% | 5h | 1.9d ago · 31× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.34–4,107.47 (-6.5%) | 9.2 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.9d ago · 47× | 4% ±8 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 8% ±18 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 165 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 4,393.82 | 4,589.74 | 4,338.01 | stop | -2.08% |