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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-01 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,749.13 (+8.3%) | 11 | 1.7% | 16h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 6% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 25% ±38 | 81% ±54 | 4.5d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,634.51–4,643.67 (+5.7%) | 7.5 | 2.1% | 13h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 14% ±15 | 44% ±22 | 7% ±12 | 49% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±15 | 43% ±37 | 99% ±11 | 3.6d | 1.88% | 2.27% | 123 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,589.16 (+4.7%) | 6.2 | 2.4% | 16h | 3.6d ago · 104× | 9% ±21 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±19 | 39% ±55 | 98% | 3.9d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 50 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,540.59–4,636.84 (+3.6%) | 4.7 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 45% ±56 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 4% ±7 | 42% ±48 | 60% | 60% | 1.6d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 25 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,387.7 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.0% | 15h | 7.6d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 4,383.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-1.8%) | 2.3 | 3.3% | 22h | 3.5d ago · 85× | 44% ±32 | 56% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 16% ±10 | 44% ±32 | 69% ±52 | 80% | 1.4d | 3.47% | 1.85% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-4.1%) | 5.4 | 1.8% | 11h | 3.4d ago · 59× | 16% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±18 | 29% ±40 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 4,155.59 (-5.2%) | 6.8 | 0.8% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 4% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±12 | 4% ±22 | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 52 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.34–4,107.47 (-6.3%) | 8.3 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 47× | 4% ±8 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 9% ±19 | 16% ±36 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 161 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 4,383.8 | 4,347.41 | 4,589.16 | target | -0.04% |