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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-01 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,733.09 (+5.8%) | 6.9 | 1.9% | 15h | 22.1d ago · 44× | 10% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±14 | 32% ±41 | 79% ±57 | 5.5d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,634.51–4,636.15 (+3.6%) | 4.3 | 2.3% | 14h | 4.0d ago · 97× | 33% ±21 | 44% ±22 | 7% ±12 | 49% ±22 | 19 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±20 | 59% ±36 | 92% ±31 | 1.9d | 1.88% | 2.27% | 124 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,591.18 (+2.6%) | 3.1 | 2.6% | 18h | 3.8d ago · 104× | 31% ±32 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 6% ±6 | 29% ±31 | 45% ±56 | 98% | 3.4d | 2.31% | 1.54% | 50 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,540.59–4,636.84 (+1.5%) | 1.8 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 59% ±34 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 25% ±12 | 56% ±34 | 70% ±52 | 70% | 13h | 2.69% | 1.55% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,474.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,387.74 (-1.9%) | 2.3 | 2.4% | 18h | 3.6d ago · 85× | 23% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 15% ±10 | 25% ±30 | 35% ±54 | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,291.94–4,306.86 (-3.7%) | 4.4 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.6d ago · 85× | 26% ±23 | 56% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±4 | 25% ±22 | 52% ±44 | 59% ±68 | 4.7d | 3.47% | 1.85% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-6.0%) | 7.2 | 2.1% | 13h | 3.6d ago · 59× | 6% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±11 | 16% ±30 | 23% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 116 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 4,155.59 (-7.1%) | 8.5 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.0d ago · 31× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±20 | > 7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.34–4,107.47 (-8.2%) | 9.7 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 47× | 3% ±7 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±17 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 166 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 4,474.08 | 4,591.18 | 4,343.03 | stop | -1.88% |