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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-02 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,701.84 (+10.0%) | 9.6 | 1.8% | 10h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 5% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 23% ±34 | 71% ±51 | 5.5d | — | — | 105 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,634.51 (+8.4%) | 8.1 | 2.7% | 17h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 18% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±16 | 49% ±37 | 96% ±23 | 3.2d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 127 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,551.35–4,641.65 (+6.5%) | 6.2 | 2.4% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 39% ±55 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±47 | 71% | 71% | 1.5d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 22 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,529.97 (+6.0%) | 5.7 | 2.2% | 12h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 25% ±19 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 25% ±18 | 42% ±37 | 86% ±40 | 4.0d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 126 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,342.77–4,344.88 (+1.6%) | 1.5 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 3.6d ago · 104× | 76% ±34 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 39% ±15 | 76% ±31 | 81% ±55 | 97% | 6h | 2.31% | 1.54% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,288 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 3.6d ago · 67× | 93% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 93% ±14 | 93% ±35 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 4,275.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,264.9 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.7% | 23h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 71% ±51 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 73% ±20 | 73% ±50 | 82% | 86% | 1h | 3.68% | 1.09% | 20 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-1.7%) | 1.6 | 2.4% | 15h | 3.4d ago · 59× | 52% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 29% ±17 | 52% ±44 | 52% ±69 | 62% | 11h | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,160.08 (-2.7%) | 2.6 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 31× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 15% ±21 | 40% ±68 | 40% | 40% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,054.74–4,084.84 (-4.5%) | 4.3 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 47× | 25% ±17 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 5% ±3 | 25% ±17 | 34% ±33 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 145 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,275.34 | 4,264.9 | 4,529.97 | target | -1.80% |
| 14d | POC | short | 4,275.34 | 4,203.63 | 4,634.51 | expired | -1.80% |
| 30d | POC | short | 4,275.34 | 4,160.08 | 4,701.84 | expired | -1.80% |