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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-02 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,691.36 (+9.2%) | 8.0 | 1.6% | 8h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 7% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±12 | 29% ±36 | 67% ±53 | 6.0d | — | — | 106 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,652.46 (+8.3%) | 7.2 | 2.1% | 10h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 19% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±17 | 50% ±37 | 94% ±27 | 3.2d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 128 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,543.4–4,632.18 (+5.8%) | 5.0 | 2.6% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 40% ±48 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±6 | 36% ±42 | 52% ±69 | 52% | 1.8d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,516.26 (+5.2%) | 4.5 | 2.4% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 33% ±20 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 4% ±3 | 32% ±19 | 50% ±37 | 83% ±43 | 3.0d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 130 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,342.77–4,344.88 (+1.1%) | 1.0 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 3.6d ago · 104× | 84% ±25 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 59% ±13 | 86% ±23 | 88% ±37 | 98% | 2h | 2.31% | 1.54% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.28 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.7% | 1.7d | 3.6d ago · 67× | 92% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 93% ±14 | 93% ±35 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 4,294.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,264.9 (-0.7%) | 0.6 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 72% ±44 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 70% ±18 | 74% ±43 | 81% | 89% | 1h | 3.68% | 1.09% | 25 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,230.56 (-1.5%) | 1.3 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 59× | 60% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 36% ±18 | 58% ±48 | 58% | 63% | 7h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,158.73 (-3.2%) | 2.7 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 42% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 13% ±18 | 35% ±66 | 35% | 35% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,055.16–4,084.75 (-4.9%) | 4.2 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 47× | 26% ±18 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 5% ±4 | 25% ±17 | 34% ±33 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 142 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.