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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-02 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,691.97 (+8.8%) | 7.6 | 1.6% | 8h | 22.1d ago · 44× | 7% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±12 | 29% ±36 | 68% ±53 | 6.0d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,652.46 (+7.9%) | 6.8 | 2.2% | 10h | 4.0d ago · 70× | 20% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±17 | 49% ±37 | 94% ±27 | 3.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 126 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,559.13–4,632.93 (+5.8%) | 5.0 | 2.8% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 37% ±47 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±6 | 34% ±41 | 47% ±69 | 47% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,493.41 (+4.2%) | 3.7 | 2.6% | 18h | 4.1d ago · 97× | 39% ±21 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±21 | 56% ±37 | 82% ±43 | 1.5d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 122 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,342.77–4,344.88 (+0.7%) | 0.6 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 3.8d ago · 104× | 85% ±25 | 61% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 65% ±13 | 85% ±25 | 88% ±37 | 98% | 2h | 2.32% | 1.44% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,311.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,300.81 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 5.9% | 1.7d | 3.7d ago · 72× | 63% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 55% ±23 | 65% ±54 | 70% | 80% | 2h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,248.51–4,260.33 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 3.6d ago · 85× | 55% ±40 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 45% ±16 | 56% ±37 | 60% ±68 | 66% | 6h | 3.68% | 1.09% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,160.58 (-3.5%) | 3.0 | 1.5% | 9h | 2.0d ago · 31× | 33% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 6% ±13 | 28% ±62 | 28% | 28% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,057.26–4,086.78 (-5.2%) | 4.5 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 47× | 24% ±17 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 5% ±3 | 24% ±17 | 33% ±33 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 151 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 4,311.05 | 4,344.88 | 4,218.38 | target | +3.51% |
| 30d | POC | long | 4,311.05 | 4,691.97 | 4,160.58 | expired | +3.51% |