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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-03 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,698.59 (+9.1%) | 8.5 | 1.7% | 9h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 8% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±12 | 28% ±36 | 67% ±53 | 6.0d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,643.49 (+7.8%) | 7.3 | 2.4% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 19% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±16 | 49% ±37 | 94% ±27 | 3.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 131 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,554.66–4,641.02 (+5.7%) | 5.3 | 2.5% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 35% ±47 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±6 | 32% ±41 | 51% ±69 | 51% | 1.8d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,488.84 (+4.2%) | 3.9 | 2.6% | 19h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 36% ±21 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 4% ±3 | 35% ±20 | 55% ±37 | 80% ±45 | 1.8d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 125 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,342.77–4,344.88 (+0.8%) | 0.8 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 3.6d ago · 104× | 84% ±26 | 61% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 65% ±13 | 86% ±23 | 88% ±37 | 98% | 2h | 2.32% | 1.44% | 51 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,308.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,302.78 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.4% | 1.6d | 3.5d ago · 72× | 63% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 57% ±22 | 67% ±53 | 71% | 81% | 2h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,248.51–4,260.33 (-1.1%) | 1.0 | 3.7% | 23h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 56% ±40 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 44% ±15 | 56% ±37 | 60% ±68 | 66% | 6h | 3.68% | 1.09% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,166.05 (-3.3%) | 3.1 | 1.5% | 10h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 36% ±66 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 6% ±11 | 32% ±53 | 32% | 32% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,065.3–4,094.08 (-5.0%) | 4.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 47× | 23% ±16 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 4% ±3 | 22% ±16 | 32% ±32 | 37% ±47 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 152 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.