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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-03 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,684.2 (+8.0%) | 7.7 | 1.3% | 5h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 7% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 28% ±36 | 66% ±54 | 6.0d | — | — | 109 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,633.4 (+6.8%) | 6.6 | 2.8% | 17h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 20% ±18 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 20% ±17 | 48% ±37 | 93% ±29 | 3.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 127 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,554.66–4,641.02 (+5.0%) | 4.8 | 2.5% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 31% ±41 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±5 | 29% ±36 | 40% ±68 | 40% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 36 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,479.7 (+3.3%) | 3.1 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 97× | 44% ±24 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 6% ±5 | 43% ±23 | 61% ±39 | 84% ±41 | 1.2d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 109 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,344.88 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 3.6d ago · 104× | 97% ±15 | 61% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 86% ±12 | 97% ±13 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | 2.32% | 1.44% | 34 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,338 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 4,330.47 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 83% ±28 | 53% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 74% ±13 | 84% ±27 | 91% ±40 | 91% | 1h | 3.04% | 1.89% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,302.78 (-0.8%) | 0.8 | 5.3% | 1.6d | 3.5d ago · 72× | 59% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 55% ±18 | 61% ±43 | 74% ±61 | 81% | 4h | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,249.4–4,260.33 (-1.8%) | 1.7 | 3.6% | 23h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 43% ±34 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 23% ±12 | 43% ±34 | 49% ±57 | 59% | 4.7d | 3.68% | 1.09% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,166.05 (-4.0%) | 3.8 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 22% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±7 | 19% ±34 | 19% ±54 | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,065.3–4,094.08 (-5.6%) | 5.4 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 47× | 16% ±14 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±14 | 26% ±29 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 157 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.