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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-03 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,674.65 (+8.3%) | 8.2 | 1.3% | 5h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 7% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±12 | 28% ±36 | 64% ±54 | 6.2d | — | — | 112 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,633.4 (+7.4%) | 7.2 | 2.7% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 19% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±16 | 48% ±37 | 94% ±28 | 3.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 132 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,561.44–4,632.2 (+5.7%) | 5.6 | 2.5% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 32% ±46 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±6 | 30% ±40 | 47% ±69 | 47% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,475.13 (+3.7%) | 3.6 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 97× | 39% ±21 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 6% ±4 | 38% ±21 | 55% ±37 | 80% ±45 | 1.5d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 124 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,330.47–4,344.88 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 104× | 87% ±23 | 52% ±25 | 10% ±15 | 38% ±25 | 15 | 69% ±13 | 89% ±22 | 91% ±32 | 98% | 2h | 2.25% | 1.69% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,316.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,299.65 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 5.5% | 1.7d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 63% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 59% ±19 | 67% ±46 | 70% | 78% | 1h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,249.4–4,260.33 (-1.3%) | 1.3 | 3.5% | 22h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 52% ±37 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 35% ±14 | 50% ±35 | 54% ±56 | 63% | 1.4d | 3.68% | 1.09% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,151.07 (-3.8%) | 3.8 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 22% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±7 | 19% ±34 | 19% ±54 | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,938.81–4,094.47 (-5.1%) | 5.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 19% ±15 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±15 | 28% ±29 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 158 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.