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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-03 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,674.65 (+7.4%) | 7.6 | 1.3% | 5h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 7% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±11 | 27% ±36 | 64% ±54 | 6.2d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,624.87 (+6.3%) | 6.4 | 2.8% | 17h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 20% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 20% ±17 | 48% ±37 | 93% ±29 | 3.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 131 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,561.44–4,632.2 (+4.8%) | 4.9 | 2.4% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 32% ±41 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±5 | 30% ±37 | 41% ±68 | 41% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 35 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,470.56 (+2.7%) | 2.8 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 3.8d ago · 97× | 49% ±24 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 10% ±6 | 48% ±24 | 64% ±38 | 85% ±49 | 1.0d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 102 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,352.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,330.47–4,344.88 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 80% ±26 | 56% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 39% ±22 | 19 | 67% ±13 | 80% ±26 | 88% ±37 | 93% | 2h | 3.25% | 1.54% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.65 (-1.2%) | 1.2 | 5.3% | 1.6d | 3.5d ago · 72× | 51% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 43% ±16 | 55% ±40 | 75% ±60 | 85% | 8h | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,249.4–4,260.33 (-2.1%) | 2.2 | 3.3% | 21h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 35% ±33 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 14% ±9 | 34% ±31 | 43% ±56 | 54% | 3.2d | 3.68% | 1.09% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,165.22 (-4.3%) | 4.4 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 14% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 13% ±29 | 13% ±46 | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,052.01–4,094.47 (-5.9%) | 6.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 47× | 11% ±12 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 18% ±25 | 23% ±41 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 161 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.