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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-03 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,660.5 (+4.4%) | 5.0 | 1.4% | 6h | 22.1d ago · 44× | 21% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 21% ±24 | 35% ±47 | 60% ±68 | 5.5d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 4,610.06 (+3.3%) | 3.7 | 2.7% | 17h | 4.0d ago · 70× | 33% ±26 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 6% ±5 | 33% ±26 | 60% ±48 | 77% ±58 | 1.9d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 80 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,561.44–4,632.2 (+2.2%) | 2.5 | 2.2% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 50% ±35 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 12% ±9 | 50% ±35 | 58% ±56 | 58% | 20h | 2.69% | 1.55% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,464.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,460.41 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 65× | 81% ±54 | 60% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 75% ±23 | 81% ±54 | 81% | 81% | 1h | 3.47% | 0.98% | 14 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,341.8–4,343.94 (-2.7%) | 3.1 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 3.7d ago · 106× | 36% ±26 | 56% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 39% ±22 | 19 | 10% ±7 | 36% ±26 | 62% ±47 | 74% ±61 | 1.8d | 3.25% | 1.54% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.65 (-3.7%) | 4.2 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 3.7d ago · 72× | 44% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 8% ±7 | 44% ±31 | 76% ±48 | 83% | 1.3d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,247.34–4,267.02 (-4.4%) | 5.0 | 3.5% | 22h | 3.6d ago · 85× | 16% ±14 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 16% ±14 | 32% ±32 | 55% ±56 | 5.3d | 3.36% | 1.10% | 141 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,165.22 (-6.7%) | 7.6 | 1.3% | 8h | 2.0d ago · 31× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 4,052.01–4,094.47 (-8.3%) | 9.4 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 47× | 3% ±7 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±16 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 177 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.