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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-04 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,660.5 (+4.3%) | 5.7 | 1.3% | 5h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 15% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±19 | 31% ±40 | 61% ±68 | 6.2d | — | — | 83 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 4,617.62 (+3.4%) | 4.4 | 2.4% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 30% ±22 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 5% ±4 | 30% ±21 | 61% ±39 | 85% ±41 | 2.0d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 108 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,561.44–4,632.2 (+2.1%) | 2.8 | 1.9% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 49% ±35 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 11% ±9 | 49% ±33 | 55% ±56 | 55% | 1.2d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 51 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,466.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,453.52 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 3.8d ago · 65× | 83% ±42 | 60% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 80% ±18 | 85% ±40 | 85% | 85% | 1h | 3.47% | 0.98% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,341.8–4,348.75 (-2.6%) | 3.4 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 33% ±25 | 56% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 39% ±22 | 19 | 6% ±5 | 33% ±25 | 58% ±43 | 70% ±64 | 2.1d | 3.25% | 1.54% | 85 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.65 (-3.7%) | 4.9 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 72× | 33% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±3 | 33% ±28 | 67% ±46 | 73% ±62 | 1.8d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 4,269.63 (-4.4%) | 5.7 | 3.2% | 20h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 11% ±12 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 26% ±29 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | 3.36% | 1.10% | 157 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,247.34 (-4.9%) | 6.4 | 2.2% | 16h | 3.4d ago · 59× | 14% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±15 | 31% ±37 | 55% ±56 | 5.9d | — | — | 116 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 4,165.22 (-6.7%) | 8.8 | 1.1% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 4,052.01–4,094.47 (-8.3%) | 11 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 47× | 1% ±4 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±11 | 9% ±28 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 178 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 4,466.52 | 4,650.4 | 4,348.75 | stop | -3.75% |