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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-04 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,646.35 (+5.8%) | 7.4 | 1.7% | 9h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 6% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±11 | 26% ±35 | 61% ±55 | 6.4d | — | — | 113 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,617.62 (+5.2%) | 6.6 | 2.4% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 19% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±16 | 46% ±37 | 91% ±32 | 3.8d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 133 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,561.44–4,632.2 (+3.9%) | 5.0 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 29% ±36 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±5 | 27% ±35 | 37% ±67 | 37% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,453.52 (+1.5%) | 1.8 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 97× | 56% ±28 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 25% ±10 | 57% ±28 | 71% ±45 | 85% ±49 | 16h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 70 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,389.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,341.8–4,348.75 (-0.9%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 66% ±28 | 56% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 39% ±22 | 19 | 47% ±12 | 66% ±28 | 78% ±40 | 88% ±44 | 5h | 3.25% | 1.54% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.65 (-2.1%) | 2.6 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 72× | 62% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 17% ±12 | 62% ±36 | 83% ±52 | 90% | 19h | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 4,273.91 (-2.6%) | 3.3 | 3.4% | 22h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 26% ±21 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 8% ±5 | 26% ±21 | 42% ±39 | 57% ±69 | 5.2d | 3.36% | 1.10% | 103 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,247.34 (-3.2%) | 4.1 | 2.3% | 16h | 3.4d ago · 59× | 27% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±5 | 27% ±25 | 49% ±49 | 68% ±65 | 3.0d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 4,165.22 (-5.1%) | 6.5 | 1.1% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 4% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±11 | 4% ±21 | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,052.01–4,094.47 (-6.7%) | 8.5 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 47× | 4% ±7 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 8% ±17 | 14% ±34 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 182 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.