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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-04 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,646.35 (+6.4%) | 8.2 | 1.7% | 9h | 22.1d ago · 44× | 6% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±11 | 26% ±35 | 58% ±56 | 6.4d | — | — | 116 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,617.62 (+5.7%) | 7.3 | 2.4% | 15h | 4.1d ago · 70× | 18% ±16 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 17% ±15 | 45% ±34 | 92% ±31 | 3.8d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 141 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,561.44–4,632.2 (+4.5%) | 5.7 | 1.9% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 29% ±36 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±5 | 27% ±36 | 43% ±69 | 43% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,445.88 (+1.8%) | 2.3 | 2.4% | 21h | 4.1d ago · 97× | 54% ±27 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 15% ±8 | 55% ±27 | 67% ±46 | 85% ±49 | 18h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,379.58–4,386.8 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 2.9% | 23h | 3.9d ago · 104× | 90% ±21 | 49% ±24 | 9% ±14 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 70% ±13 | 90% ±21 | 93% ±30 | 98% | 2h | 2.20% | 1.85% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,366.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,299.65 (-1.5%) | 2.0 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 3.7d ago · 72× | 62% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 24% ±13 | 60% ±36 | 81% ±54 | 87% | 19h | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 4,274.75 (-2.1%) | 2.7 | 3.4% | 22h | 3.6d ago · 85× | 30% ±27 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 13% ±8 | 29% ±26 | 41% ±48 | 52% ±69 | 6.8d | 3.36% | 1.10% | 70 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,247.34 (-2.7%) | 3.5 | 2.2% | 16h | 3.6d ago · 59× | 31% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 8% ±7 | 30% ±28 | 46% ±56 | 62% | 3.2d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,165.22 (-4.6%) | 5.9 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 6% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±15 | 5% ±26 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,052.01–4,094.47 (-6.2%) | 7.9 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 47× | 4% ±7 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 9% ±18 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 178 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.