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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-04 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,646.35 (+5.3%) | 6.7 | 1.8% | 9h | 22.2d ago · 44× | 10% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±36 | 61% ±55 | 6.0d | — | — | 110 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,617.62 (+4.6%) | 5.8 | 2.4% | 15h | 4.1d ago · 70× | 20% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 20% ±16 | 48% ±35 | 84% ±41 | 3.5d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 137 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,561.44–4,632.2 (+3.3%) | 4.2 | 2.0% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 25% ±32 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 24% ±29 | 31% ±52 | 31% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,441.81 (+0.6%) | 0.8 | 2.3% | 19h | 4.1d ago · 97× | 81% ±24 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 62% ±12 | 81% ±24 | 89% ±36 | 90% | 2h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 61 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,414.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,387.14–4,390.88 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 79% ±26 | 57% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 38% ±22 | 19 | 65% ±12 | 79% ±25 | 88% ±37 | 93% | 2h | 3.44% | 1.53% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.65 (-2.6%) | 3.3 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 56% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 9% ±8 | 54% ±33 | 77% ±48 | 86% | 1.0d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 4,278.83 (-3.1%) | 3.9 | 3.7% | 1.0d | 3.7d ago · 85× | 22% ±19 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 5% ±4 | 22% ±18 | 39% ±36 | 59% ±56 | 4.8d | 3.36% | 1.10% | 120 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,254.9 (-3.6%) | 4.6 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.7d ago · 59× | 25% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±4 | 24% ±22 | 45% ±44 | 69% ±64 | 3.4d | — | — | 81 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 4,179.37 (-5.3%) | 6.8 | 1.6% | 10h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 3% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±10 | 3% ±17 | 3% ±24 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 4,052.01–4,094.47 (-7.2%) | 9.2 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 47× | 4% ±7 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 7% ±16 | 14% ±34 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 182 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.