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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-05 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,638.05 (+7.2%) | 8.6 | 2.1% | 13h | 22.2d ago · 44× | 5% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 23% ±31 | 56% ±56 | 6.7d | — | — | 121 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,611.67 (+6.6%) | 7.9 | 2.5% | 15h | 4.1d ago · 70× | 17% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±15 | 44% ±34 | 91% ±32 | 4.0d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 142 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,568.56–4,638.05 (+5.6%) | 6.7 | 2.1% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 22% ±36 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±5 | 20% ±32 | 40% ±68 | 40% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 36 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,413.17 (+2.0%) | 2.4 | 2.9% | 24h | 4.1d ago · 97× | 54% ±26 | 48% ±22 | 9% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 14% ±7 | 52% ±26 | 67% ±41 | 85% ±49 | 21h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,382.25 (+1.3%) | 1.5 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 79× | 79% ±36 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 42% ±17 | 76% ±34 | 83% ±52 | 97% | 5h | 2.05% | 2.31% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,344.43 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 104× | 90% ±21 | 58% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 72% ±13 | 89% ±21 | 92% ±32 | 98% | 2h | 2.31% | 1.54% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,328.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,311.47 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 63% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 58% ±18 | 65% ±42 | 74% ±61 | 81% | 1h | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 4,284.47 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 3.7d ago · 85× | 51% ±35 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 44% ±14 | 52% ±33 | 67% ±53 | 73% | 6h | 3.36% | 1.10% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,265.66 (-1.4%) | 1.7 | 3.2% | 20h | 3.7d ago · 59× | 42% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 20% ±12 | 41% ±36 | 48% ±69 | 62% | 3.0d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,179.45 (-3.4%) | 4.1 | 1.7% | 10h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 15% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 14% ±28 | 14% ±48 | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,957.11–4,040.49 (-6.6%) | 8.0 | 0.4% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 47× | 4% ±7 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 8% ±17 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 184 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.