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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-05 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,638.75 (+5.3%) | 6.1 | 2.3% | 13h | 22.0d ago · 44× | 12% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±16 | 28% ±39 | 58% ±68 | 6.3d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 4,611.67 (+4.7%) | 5.4 | 2.7% | 16h | 3.9d ago · 70× | 22% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±17 | 49% ±35 | 78% ±47 | 3.7d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 135 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,569.42–4,638.75 (+3.7%) | 4.3 | 2.3% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 23% ±29 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 22% ±29 | 29% ±51 | 29% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,413.17 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 97× | 87% ±25 | 48% ±22 | 9% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 74% ±13 | 85% ±25 | 90% ±34 | 90% | 1h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,404.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,382.25–4,385.38 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 3.6d ago · 106× | 80% ±26 | 58% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 37% ±21 | 20 | 65% ±12 | 81% ±25 | 89% ±36 | 93% | 2h | 3.42% | 1.52% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,312.89 (-2.1%) | 2.4 | 5.0% | 1.6d | 3.6d ago · 72× | 59% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 21% ±12 | 62% ±34 | 81% ±45 | 87% | 19h | — | — | 45 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 4,287.39 (-2.7%) | 3.0 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 29% ±24 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 11% ±7 | 31% ±23 | 46% ±44 | 56% ±69 | 5.7d | 3.36% | 1.10% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,265.66 (-3.2%) | 3.6 | 3.5% | 22h | 3.5d ago · 59× | 28% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±5 | 29% ±27 | 44% ±49 | 64% ±66 | 3.4d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 4,181.16 (-5.1%) | 5.8 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.9d ago · 31× | 5% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±14 | 5% ±25 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,973.17–4,014.77 (-8.8%) | 10 | 0.3% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 47× | 2% ±5 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±14 | 11% ±31 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 185 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 4,404.41 | 4,385.38 | 4,435.81 | target | +2.17% |