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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-05 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,611.67–4,624.88 (+3.2%) | 3.6 | 2.8% | 17h | 4.0d ago · 70× | 33% ±26 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 6% ±5 | 33% ±26 | 55% ±49 | 68% ±65 | 3.1d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,569.42–4,638.75 (+2.2%) | 2.5 | 2.3% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 44% ±32 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 11% ±9 | 44% ±32 | 52% ±57 | 52% | 1.3d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,469.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,416.1 (-1.2%) | 1.4 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 65× | 65% ±47 | 56% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 46% ±20 | 65% ±47 | 77% | 77% | 6h | 2.98% | 1.27% | 24 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,382.25–4,385.38 (-1.9%) | 2.1 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 3.6d ago · 106× | 46% ±33 | 58% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 37% ±21 | 20 | 18% ±10 | 47% ±33 | 70% ±52 | 80% | 1.3d | 3.42% | 1.52% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,312.89 (-3.5%) | 4.0 | 5.1% | 1.7d | 3.6d ago · 72× | 47% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 10% ±8 | 52% ±31 | 77% ±48 | 85% | 1.0d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,273.19–4,284.47 (-4.1%) | 4.7 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 18% ±16 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 3% ±3 | 20% ±16 | 38% ±34 | 61% ±55 | 4.4d | 3.36% | 1.10% | 142 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,181.16 (-6.4%) | 7.3 | 1.8% | 11h | 2.0d ago · 31× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,973.17–4,014.77 (-10.2%) | 12 | 0.3% | 3h | 2.0d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 7% ±24 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 183 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 4,469.39 | 4,601.02 | 4,385.38 | stop | -3.85% |