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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-05 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,627.45 (+7.7%) | 7.6 | 2.9% | 18h | 22.0d ago · 44× | 6% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 24% ±32 | 55% ±56 | 6.7d | — | — | 123 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,596.62 (+7.0%) | 6.9 | 3.0% | 20h | 3.9d ago · 70× | 17% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 17% ±15 | 42% ±34 | 82% ±43 | 4.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 144 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,574.61–4,627.45 (+6.5%) | 6.4 | 2.7% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 21% ±35 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±5 | 19% ±31 | 35% ±66 | 35% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,419.02 (+2.9%) | 2.8 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 97× | 51% ±23 | 48% ±22 | 9% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 11% ±6 | 53% ±23 | 68% ±37 | 85% ±40 | 21h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 110 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,382.25–4,385.38 (+2.0%) | 2.0 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 3.7d ago · 104× | 57% ±34 | 49% ±24 | 9% ±13 | 42% ±23 | 17 | 22% ±12 | 61% ±34 | 70% ±52 | 87% | 12h | 2.24% | 1.69% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,303.83 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 6.2% | 2.0d | 3.7d ago · 67× | 94% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 94% ±11 | 94% ±26 | 94% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| at post · 4,294.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,265.66–4,281.54 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 5.3% | 1.5d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 64% ±47 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 56% ±18 | 68% ±41 | 83% ±53 | 84% | 4h | 3.36% | 1.10% | 30 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,178.34 (-2.7%) | 2.7 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.9d ago · 31× | 25% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 9% ±12 | 22% ±40 | 22% | 22% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,059.46–4,085.88 (-4.9%) | 4.8 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 47× | 21% ±16 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 4% ±3 | 20% ±15 | 30% ±30 | 35% ±47 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 160 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 4,294.88 | 4,385.38 | 4,256.8 | stop | -0.17% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 4,294.88 | 4,382.25 | 4,206.09 | expired | -0.17% |