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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-06 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,611.12 (+7.5%) | 14 | 1.7% | 10h | 22.1d ago · 44× | 4% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 18% ±31 | 58% ±56 | 6.6d | — | — | 105 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 4,599.57–4,622.67 (+7.3%) | 13 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 46% ±69 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 6% ±13 | 45% ±69 | 69% | 69% | 1.1d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 14 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,551.49 (+6.2%) | 11 | 1.3% | 8h | 4.0d ago · 70× | 14% ±16 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±15 | 39% ±39 | 91% ±33 | 4.0d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,421.95 (+3.1%) | 5.8 | 1.9% | 14h | 4.0d ago · 97× | 26% ±18 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 26% ±18 | 40% ±34 | 70% ±52 | 4.7d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 137 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 4,382.25 (+2.2%) | 4.1 | 2.3% | 17h | 3.8d ago · 79× | 40% ±55 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 5% ±9 | 40% ±55 | 50% | 95% | 4.9d | 2.14% | 2.06% | 20 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,300.56–4,305 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 3.7% | 1.4d | 3.8d ago · 104× | 91% ±19 | 60% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 75% ±11 | 89% ±21 | 92% ±31 | 98% | 2h | 2.32% | 1.44% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,287.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,275.69 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.7% | 18h | 3.6d ago · 85× | 73% ±39 | 73% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±23 | 12 | 67% ±15 | 77% ±34 | 90% ±42 | 92% | 2h | 3.68% | 0.98% | 37 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,258.14 (-0.7%) | 1.3 | 1.9% | 12h | 3.6d ago · 59× | 54% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 30% ±14 | 60% ±36 | 70% ±64 | 75% | 11h | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,183.71 (-2.4%) | 4.5 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.0d ago · 31× | 9% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±19 | 9% ±32 | 9% | > 7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,056.64–4,091.29 (-4.6%) | 8.5 | 0.2% | 55m | 2.0d ago · 47× | 4% ±6 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 7% ±15 | 13% ±30 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 197 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 4,287.52 | 4,300.56 | 4,249.37 | stop | -0.13% |