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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-06 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,616.15 (+7.9%) | 15 | 1.7% | 10h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 19% ±31 | 56% ±69 | 6.6d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 4,594.12–4,605.13 (+7.4%) | 14 | 1.7% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 46% ±69 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 6% ±12 | 43% ±56 | 69% | 69% | 1.1d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 15 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,551.49 (+6.4%) | 12 | 1.3% | 8h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 14% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±16 | 36% ±38 | 92% ±39 | 4.0d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,416.1 (+3.2%) | 6.0 | 2.1% | 16h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 25% ±18 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 25% ±18 | 39% ±34 | 69% ±52 | 5.0d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 138 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 4,382.25 (+2.4%) | 4.6 | 2.3% | 17h | 3.6d ago · 79× | 40% ±68 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±12 | 40% ±55 | 47% | 94% | 4.9d | 2.14% | 2.06% | 15 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,300.56–4,302.17 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 3.6d ago · 104× | 86% ±21 | 60% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 62% ±12 | 84% ±22 | 89% ±31 | 98% ±19 | 2h | 2.32% | 1.44% | 65 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,277.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,269.84 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.5% | 17h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 73% ±39 | 69% ±25 | 13% ±18 | 19% ±21 | 13 | 68% ±15 | 76% ±34 | 89% ±43 | 92% | 1h | 3.36% | 1.10% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,258.14 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 1.9% | 12h | 3.4d ago · 59× | 68% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 46% ±17 | 73% ±36 | 81% ±54 | 84% | 6h | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,197.51 (-1.9%) | 3.5 | 1.1% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 16% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 14% ±28 | 14% ±49 | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,043.28–4,098.36 (-4.2%) | 7.8 | 0.2% | 53m | 1.8d ago · 47× | 4% ±7 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 9% ±17 | 15% ±31 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 190 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 4,277.5 | 4,300.56 | 4,243.52 | target | +0.49% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 4,277.5 | 4,382.25 | 4,205.34 | expired | +0.49% |