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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-07 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,605.36 (+7.1%) | 15 | 1.5% | 9h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 4% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 18% ±31 | 54% ±56 | 6.7d | — | — | 106 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,528.93 (+5.3%) | 11 | 1.1% | 6h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 13% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±14 | 35% ±35 | 83% ±42 | 4.4d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 123 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,406.72 (+2.5%) | 5.1 | 2.1% | 17h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 31% ±19 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 31% ±18 | 45% ±34 | 71% ±45 | 4.1d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 147 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,382.25 (+1.9%) | 3.9 | 2.1% | 16h | 3.6d ago · 79× | 38% ±55 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 4% ±7 | 33% ±46 | 46% | 96% | 4.9d | 2.14% | 2.06% | 25 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,300.27–4,301.09 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.5% | 1.5d | 3.6d ago · 104× | 97% ±15 | 60% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 85% ±11 | 97% ±12 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | 2.32% | 1.44% | 42 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,298.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,258.14–4,266.73 (-0.8%) | 1.5 | 2.2% | 15h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 47% ±31 | 69% ±25 | 13% ±18 | 19% ±21 | 13 | 28% ±11 | 48% ±30 | 63% ±47 | 71% ±63 | 1.6d | 3.36% | 1.10% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,199.67 (-2.3%) | 4.7 | 1.1% | 6h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 8% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±17 | 7% ±29 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,060.88–4,092.91 (-4.8%) | 9.8 | 0.2% | 50m | 1.8d ago · 47× | 3% ±6 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±14 | 11% ±27 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 197 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,298.99 | 4,266.73 | 4,406.72 | expired | -0.46% |
| 30d | POC | short | 4,298.99 | 4,199.67 | 4,605.36 | expired | -0.46% |