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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-07 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,591.05 (+7.2%) | 17 | 1.3% | 9h | 22.2d ago · 44× | 3% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 18% ±38 | 53% ±69 | 6.7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 4,521.41 (+5.6%) | 14 | 0.9% | 5h | 4.1d ago · 70× | 11% ±18 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±4 | 11% ±17 | 28% ±44 | 89% ±44 | 4.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,401.98 (+2.8%) | 6.8 | 1.8% | 14h | 4.1d ago · 97× | 18% ±17 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±16 | 34% ±35 | 65% ±54 | 5.3d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 4,382.25 (+2.3%) | 5.7 | 1.8% | 13h | 3.9d ago · 79× | 12% ±36 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 4% ±9 | 9% ±29 | 22% | 96% | 4.8d | 2.14% | 2.06% | 21 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,296.51–4,298.74 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 3.1% | 1.4d | 3.9d ago · 104× | 85% ±22 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 69% ±11 | 87% ±20 | 90% ±29 | 98% ±19 | 2h | 2.31% | 1.42% | 66 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,281.92 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,258.14–4,266.17 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 1.9% | 12h | 3.7d ago · 85× | 60% ±34 | 69% ±25 | 13% ±18 | 19% ±21 | 13 | 40% ±13 | 58% ±32 | 70% ±52 | 77% | 10h | 3.36% | 1.10% | 56 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,224.43–4,234.33 (-1.1%) | 2.7 | 1.3% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 53% ±35 | 45% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 17% ±11 | 53% ±35 | 72% ±51 | 77% | 22h | 2.66% | 1.52% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,184.79 (-2.3%) | 5.5 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 6% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±23 | 6% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,281.92 | 4,266.17 | 4,401.98 | expired | -1.30% |