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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-08 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,597.22 (+7.0%) | 17 | 1.3% | 8h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 17% ±36 | 51% ±69 | 6.9d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 4,489.75 (+4.5%) | 11 | 1.1% | 7h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 12% ±14 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±14 | 34% ±35 | 81% ±45 | 4.4d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 126 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,396.2 (+2.3%) | 5.6 | 1.8% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 27% ±18 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 27% ±17 | 42% ±34 | 67% ±46 | 5.0d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 147 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 4,298.42–4,304.98 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.2% | 1.4d | 3.6d ago · 79× | 90% ±26 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 78% ±15 | 92% ±24 | 93% ±35 | 97% | 1h | 2.14% | 2.06% | 30 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,296.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,296.51 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.2% | 1.4d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 83% ±28 | 56% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 74% ±13 | 84% ±27 | 88% ±44 | 95% | 1h | 3.32% | 1.67% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,266.17–4,268.03 (-0.7%) | 1.6 | 2.0% | 14h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 47% ±31 | 65% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 24% ±10 | 48% ±30 | 60% ±48 | 69% ±64 | 1.7d | 2.94% | 0.98% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,198.82 (-2.3%) | 5.5 | 0.9% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 6% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±23 | 6% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 4,296.76 | 4,198.82 | 4,597.22 | expired | -0.07% |