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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-08 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,580.65 (+6.6%) | 15 | 1.3% | 9h | 22.2d ago · 44× | 4% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 18% ±31 | 52% ±57 | 6.9d | — | — | 110 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,488.19 (+4.5%) | 9.9 | 1.3% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 70× | 15% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±14 | 38% ±34 | 78% ±47 | 4.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 145 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,446–4,481.9 (+3.5%) | 7.7 | 1.4% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 19% ±29 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±5 | 19% ±29 | 31% ±64 | 31% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 40 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,396.2 (+2.3%) | 5.2 | 2.0% | 16h | 4.1d ago · 97× | 30% ±18 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 29% ±18 | 44% ±34 | 69% ±45 | 4.2d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 151 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 4,296.51–4,302.34 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.6% | 1.6d | 3.9d ago · 104× | 94% ±18 | 42% ±23 | 14% ±16 | 44% ±23 | 18 | 81% ±11 | 94% ±17 | 95% ±29 | 97% | 1h | 1.94% | 1.85% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,295.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,266.17–4,268.31 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 2.3% | 16h | 3.7d ago · 85× | 51% ±31 | 65% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 30% ±11 | 51% ±30 | 63% ±47 | 70% ±63 | 18h | 2.94% | 0.98% | 67 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,185.67 (-2.6%) | 5.6 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 6% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±13 | 5% ±22 | 5% ±31 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,295.61 | 4,266.17 | 4,396.2 | expired | -0.38% |
| 14d | POC | short | 4,295.61 | 4,268.31 | 4,488.19 | expired | -0.38% |
| 30d | POC | short | 4,295.61 | 4,185.67 | 4,580.65 | expired | -0.38% |