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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-08 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (+6.7%) | 15 | 1.5% | 10h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 4% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 17% ±30 | 52% ±57 | 6.9d | — | — | 106 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,482.6 (+4.2%) | 9.4 | 1.6% | 12h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 15% ±14 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±14 | 38% ±34 | 77% ±41 | 4.4d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 148 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 4,446–4,481.9 (+3.4%) | 7.5 | 1.4% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 21% ±30 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±5 | 21% ±30 | 33% ±65 | 33% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,393.31 (+2.2%) | 4.8 | 2.1% | 16h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 31% ±18 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 30% ±18 | 46% ±33 | 70% ±45 | 4.0d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 153 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,303.43 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.5% | 1.5d | 3.6d ago · 79× | 86% ±30 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 75% ±15 | 88% ±29 | 91% ±40 | 97% | 1h | 2.14% | 2.06% | 30 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,300.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,296.51–4,297.88 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.7% | 1.7d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 80% ±28 | 61% ±20 | 5% ±9 | 34% ±20 | 22 | 70% ±13 | 80% ±28 | 84% ±42 | 91% | 1h | 3.35% | 1.40% | 48 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,266.17–4,272.38 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 2.5% | 19h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 48% ±31 | 65% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 24% ±10 | 47% ±29 | 59% ±48 | 67% ±65 | 1.8d | 2.94% | 0.98% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,203.63 (-2.2%) | 5.0 | 1.0% | 6h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 7% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±14 | 6% ±24 | 6% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 4,300.01 | 4,393.31 | 4,266.17 | expired | +1.36% |
| 30d | POC | long | 4,300.01 | 4,589.63 | 4,203.63 | expired | +1.36% |