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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-08 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (+5.8%) | 9.5 | 2.0% | 13h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 18% ±28 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 132 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,475.13 (+3.2%) | 5.2 | 2.5% | 22h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 21% ±17 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 21% ±17 | 46% ±35 | 65% ±54 | 5.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 139 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,446–4,481.9 (+2.5%) | 4.1 | 2.0% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 23% ±27 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 23% ±27 | 28% ±51 | 28% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,387.53 (+1.2%) | 1.9 | 2.8% | 21h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 52% ±27 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 23% ±9 | 52% ±27 | 68% ±46 | 84% ±50 | 21h | 1.89% | 1.84% | 77 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,337.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,296.51–4,303.75 (-0.8%) | 1.3 | 4.9% | 2.1d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 62% ±27 | 57% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 38% ±20 | 22 | 40% ±11 | 62% ±27 | 77% ±41 | 87% ±47 | 9h | 3.08% | 1.59% | 70 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,269.06–4,278.61 (-1.4%) | 2.2 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 35% ±27 | 65% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 12% ±7 | 35% ±26 | 48% ±49 | 58% ±68 | 4.5d | 2.94% | 0.98% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,203.63 (-3.1%) | 5.1 | 1.2% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 6% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±14 | 6% ±23 | 6% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 67 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.