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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-08 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (+6.8%) | 10 | 2.2% | 14h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 17% ±26 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | — | — | 135 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,465.99 (+3.9%) | 5.8 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 70× | 18% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±15 | 41% ±34 | 65% ±47 | 5.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 149 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 4,446–4,481.9 (+3.5%) | 5.1 | 2.2% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 20% ±28 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 20% ±26 | 28% ±51 | 28% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,384.65 (+2.0%) | 3.0 | 3.1% | 23h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 47% ±21 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 9% ±5 | 47% ±21 | 63% ±36 | 82% ±44 | 1.1d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 126 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 4,297.88–4,303.75 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.6% | 2.5d | 3.6d ago · 79× | 91% ±25 | 25% ±25 | 18% ±22 | 57% ±28 | 12 | 81% ±13 | 92% ±22 | 95% ±29 | 97% | 1h | 1.64% | 2.21% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,296.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,296.51 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.6% | 2.5d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 83% ±28 | 56% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 76% ±13 | 84% ±27 | 89% ±44 | 96% | 1h | 3.32% | 1.67% | 43 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,266.17–4,274.04 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 65% ±29 | 67% ±24 | 17% ±19 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 44% ±12 | 62% ±29 | 74% ±43 | 79% ±57 | 7h | 2.73% | 0.87% | 65 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,203.63 (-2.2%) | 3.2 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 13% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±27 | 13% ±47 | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 4,296.62 | 4,384.65 | 4,266.17 | expired | +0.15% |