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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-09 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (+6.7%) | 10.0 | 2.2% | 14h | 22.2d ago · 44× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 17% ±26 | 47% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 136 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,470.56 (+4.0%) | 5.9 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 70× | 18% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±15 | 41% ±34 | 65% ±47 | 5.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,384.67 (+2.0%) | 2.9 | 3.1% | 23h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 47% ±22 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 10% ±5 | 47% ±21 | 64% ±36 | 83% ±43 | 1.1d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 124 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,300.96–4,303.75 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.6% | 2.5d | 4.0d ago · 104× | 93% ±18 | 48% ±22 | 8% ±12 | 44% ±22 | 19 | 83% ±11 | 94% ±17 | 96% ±21 | 98% | 1h | 2.19% | 1.62% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,299.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,297.88 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.6% | 2.6d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 85% ±35 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 79% ±16 | 86% ±34 | 86% | 93% | 1h | 3.41% | 0.86% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,269.4–4,274.04 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 3.7d ago · 85× | 65% ±29 | 67% ±24 | 17% ±19 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 44% ±12 | 61% ±29 | 74% ±43 | 78% ±57 | 7h | 2.73% | 0.87% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,203.63 (-2.2%) | 3.3 | 1.3% | 7h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 13% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±27 | 13% ±46 | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,299.61 | 4,269.4 | 4,384.67 | expired | +0.36% |
| 14d | POC | short | 4,299.61 | 4,274.04 | 4,470.56 | expired | +0.36% |