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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-09 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (+6.4%) | 9.8 | 2.2% | 14h | 22.2d ago · 44× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 17% ±26 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 138 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,465.99 (+3.6%) | 5.5 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 70× | 19% ±16 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±16 | 43% ±34 | 63% ±55 | 5.4d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 145 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,381.93 (+1.6%) | 2.5 | 3.0% | 21h | 4.1d ago · 97× | 52% ±23 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 13% ±6 | 52% ±23 | 66% ±38 | 85% ±40 | 20h | 1.89% | 1.84% | 109 → 3 | |
| at post · 4,311.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,303.75 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 5.4% | 2.4d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 79% ±27 | 58% ±20 | 5% ±9 | 37% ±20 | 23 | 68% ±12 | 80% ±26 | 86% ±39 | 91% | 1h | 3.08% | 1.41% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,266.66–4,269.47 (-1.0%) | 1.5 | 3.1% | 22h | 3.7d ago · 85× | 49% ±28 | 67% ±24 | 17% ±19 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 28% ±10 | 50% ±27 | 63% ±47 | 70% ±63 | 24h | 2.73% | 0.87% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,203.63 (-2.5%) | 3.8 | 1.2% | 7h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 10% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±19 | 9% ±33 | 9% | > 7d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.