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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-09 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (+5.3%) | 7.4 | 2.4% | 15h | 22.0d ago · 44× | 5% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±9 | 21% ±30 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 133 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,465.99 (+2.5%) | 3.5 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 70× | 34% ±27 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 8% ±6 | 34% ±27 | 61% ±48 | 68% ±65 | 1.9d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,379.18 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 3.3% | 23h | 4.0d ago · 97× | 84% ±23 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 65% ±12 | 84% ±23 | 90% ±33 | 92% | 2h | 1.89% | 1.84% | 60 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,358.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,303.75 (-1.3%) | 1.8 | 6.0% | 2.6d | 3.6d ago · 106× | 58% ±31 | 58% ±20 | 5% ±9 | 37% ±20 | 23 | 29% ±11 | 59% ±29 | 78% ±41 | 86% ±49 | 13h | 3.08% | 1.41% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,269.4–4,269.47 (-2.0%) | 2.9 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 33% ±24 | 67% ±24 | 17% ±19 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 10% ±6 | 34% ±23 | 49% ±44 | 59% ±68 | 4.3d | 2.73% | 0.87% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,212.6 (-3.3%) | 4.7 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.9d ago · 31× | 6% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±14 | 6% ±23 | 6% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 4,358.35 | 4,300.96 | 4,398.94 | target | +0.65% |