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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-09 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (+5.7%) | 8.2 | 2.3% | 15h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 6% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 22% ±29 | 44% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 135 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,461.42 (+2.7%) | 3.9 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 70× | 29% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 6% ±5 | 28% ±22 | 56% ±44 | 64% ±66 | 2.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,381.93 (+0.9%) | 1.3 | 3.2% | 23h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 64% ±28 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 39% ±11 | 63% ±27 | 76% ±42 | 86% ±48 | 7h | 1.89% | 1.84% | 70 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,343.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,303.75 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 5.8% | 2.6d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 62% ±27 | 58% ±20 | 5% ±9 | 37% ±20 | 23 | 42% ±11 | 63% ±27 | 79% ±40 | 88% ±45 | 8h | 3.06% | 1.36% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,264.9–4,272.15 (-1.6%) | 2.4 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 36% ±27 | 67% ±24 | 17% ±19 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 12% ±7 | 37% ±26 | 51% ±49 | 60% ±68 | 4.2d | 2.73% | 0.87% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,212.6 (-3.0%) | 4.3 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 7% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±15 | 6% ±28 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.