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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,616.56 (+7.7%) | 11 | 2.2% | 13h | 22.2d ago · 44× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 16% ±25 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | — | — | 138 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,452.28 (+3.9%) | 5.6 | 2.5% | 22h | 4.1d ago · 70× | 19% ±16 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±15 | 43% ±34 | 63% ±47 | 5.4d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 151 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,379.18 (+2.2%) | 3.1 | 3.2% | 22h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 45% ±21 | 48% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 9% ±5 | 46% ±21 | 61% ±36 | 80% ±45 | 1.2d | 2.23% | 1.62% | 127 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,297.88–4,303.75 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 6.0% | 2.7d | 4.0d ago · 104× | 91% ±18 | 39% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 48% ±22 | 19 | 77% ±11 | 91% ±18 | 95% ±25 | 98% | 1h | 1.89% | 1.71% | 61 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,286.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,264.9–4,269.4 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 3.3% | 23h | 3.7d ago · 85× | 72% ±31 | 67% ±24 | 17% ±19 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 51% ±14 | 73% ±31 | 84% ±42 | 87% | 6h | 2.73% | 0.87% | 48 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 1.7% | 12h | 2.1d ago · 31× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.