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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-10 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,616.56 (+7.8%) | 12 | 2.0% | 11h | 22.1d ago · 44× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 16% ±25 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | — | — | 136 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,443.14 (+3.7%) | 6.0 | 2.0% | 15h | 4.0d ago · 70× | 18% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±2 | 17% ±15 | 40% ±32 | 63% ±47 | 5.4d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 156 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,381.93 (+2.3%) | 3.7 | 2.8% | 20h | 4.0d ago · 97× | 39% ±19 | 48% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 7% ±4 | 40% ±19 | 54% ±35 | 72% ±44 | 1.5d | 2.23% | 1.62% | 151 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,297.88–4,303.75 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 5.5% | 2.6d | 3.8d ago · 104× | 89% ±18 | 38% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 49% ±22 | 19 | 75% ±10 | 90% ±18 | 95% ±22 | 98% ±19 | 1h | 1.89% | 1.70% | 67 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,284 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,264.9–4,272.15 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.2% | 24h | 3.6d ago · 85× | 70% ±34 | 67% ±24 | 17% ±19 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 51% ±15 | 70% ±34 | 82% ±53 | 86% | 6h | 2.73% | 0.87% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-0.8%) | 1.3 | 1.4% | 9h | 2.0d ago · 31× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,284 | 4,272.15 | 4,381.93 | stop | -1.72% |
| 14d | POC | short | 4,284 | 4,264.9 | 4,443.14 | stop | -1.72% |
| 30d | POC | short | 4,284 | 4,248.51 | 4,616.56 | expired | -1.72% |