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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-10 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,616.56 (+6.6%) | 12 | 1.8% | 10h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 16% ±25 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | — | — | 141 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,434 (+2.4%) | 4.3 | 1.9% | 12h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 26% ±20 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 5% ±4 | 25% ±20 | 54% ±40 | 66% ±54 | 2.5d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 115 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,381.93 (+1.2%) | 2.1 | 2.6% | 19h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 55% ±25 | 48% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 16% ±8 | 54% ±25 | 68% ±41 | 84% ±50 | 18h | 2.23% | 1.62% | 91 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,330.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,303.75 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 4.8% | 2.2d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 70% ±26 | 60% ±20 | 5% ±8 | 36% ±19 | 24 | 54% ±11 | 72% ±24 | 82% ±37 | 90% ±41 | 4h | 2.94% | 1.35% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,264.9–4,269.4 (-1.4%) | 2.5 | 2.6% | 18h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 36% ±26 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 12% ±7 | 37% ±25 | 51% ±44 | 60% ±68 | 2.5d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-1.9%) | 3.4 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 11% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 11% ±21 | 11% ±35 | 11% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.