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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-10 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,607.58 (+5.5%) | 9.3 | 1.9% | 11h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 18% ±26 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 143 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,424.85 (+1.3%) | 2.2 | 2.2% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 55% ±32 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 22% ±11 | 55% ±32 | 76% ±48 | 76% | 22h | 1.98% | 2.53% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,381.93 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.8% | 20h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 85% ±23 | 48% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 68% ±12 | 86% ±23 | 93% ±29 | 93% | 1h | 2.23% | 1.62% | 54 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,369.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,303.75 (-1.5%) | 2.6 | 5.1% | 2.3d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 51% ±30 | 60% ±20 | 5% ±8 | 36% ±19 | 24 | 17% ±9 | 52% ±28 | 75% ±42 | 84% ±51 | 1.1d | 2.94% | 1.35% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,264.9–4,269.4 (-2.3%) | 3.9 | 2.7% | 18h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 28% ±19 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 7% ±4 | 29% ±19 | 48% ±37 | 65% ±54 | 3.3d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 129 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-2.8%) | 4.7 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 6% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±23 | 6% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.