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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-10 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,607.58 (+5.1%) | 8.0 | 2.1% | 12h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 5% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±9 | 21% ±28 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 140 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,420.85 (+0.8%) | 1.3 | 2.7% | 18h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 65% ±30 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 48% ±12 | 66% ±29 | 77% ±48 | 78% | 5h | 1.98% | 2.53% | 62 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,383.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,381.93 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.2% | 22h | 3.8d ago · 65× | 84% ±41 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 79% ±19 | 84% ±41 | 84% | 84% | 1h | 2.95% | 1.44% | 17 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,300.96 (-1.9%) | 3.0 | 5.4% | 2.6d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 47% ±27 | 60% ±20 | 5% ±8 | 35% ±19 | 24 | 13% ±7 | 47% ±27 | 69% ±45 | 78% ±57 | 1.4d | 2.97% | 1.30% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,269.4–4,271.42 (-2.6%) | 4.0 | 2.9% | 22h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 28% ±19 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 6% ±4 | 27% ±18 | 46% ±35 | 64% ±54 | 3.5d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 136 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-3.1%) | 4.9 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 6% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±22 | 6% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 4,383.99 | 4,299.98 | 4,447.75 | target | -0.73% |