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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-10 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,607.58 (+6.5%) | 8.8 | 2.4% | 14h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 18% ±27 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 144 → 3 |
| 14D VAH | 4,415.03 (+2.0%) | 2.7 | 3.3% | 23h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 50% ±31 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 24% ±11 | 51% ±31 | 71% ±51 | 74% | 23h | 1.98% | 2.53% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,381.93 (+1.2%) | 1.7 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 97× | 54% ±27 | 48% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 25% ±9 | 56% ±26 | 73% ±39 | 87% ±47 | 18h | 2.23% | 1.62% | 82 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,327.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,301.71 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 6.1% | 2.9d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 79% ±23 | 60% ±20 | 5% ±8 | 35% ±19 | 24 | 64% ±11 | 80% ±23 | 88% ±32 | 92% ±37 | 2h | 2.97% | 1.30% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,273.91–4,274.89 (-1.2%) | 1.7 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 46% ±28 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 23% ±9 | 44% ±27 | 56% ±49 | 66% ±66 | 2.0d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 77 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-1.8%) | 2.5 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 18% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 6% ±9 | 16% ±32 | 16% ±50 | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.