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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-11 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,607.58 (+5.7%) | 8.0 | 2.4% | 14h | 22.0d ago · 44× | 5% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±9 | 21% ±28 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 142 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 4,598.6–4,607.58 (+5.5%) | 7.7 | 2.3% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 17% ±26 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 17% ±26 | 38% ±55 | 38% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,410.75 (+1.2%) | 1.7 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 3.9d ago · 70× | 63% ±32 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 39% ±13 | 63% ±30 | 77% ±47 | 79% | 7h | 1.98% | 2.53% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,376.44 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 3.6% | 1.0d | 4.0d ago · 97× | 84% ±23 | 48% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 64% ±12 | 84% ±23 | 92% ±30 | 92% | 2h | 2.23% | 1.62% | 62 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,357.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,301.71 (-1.3%) | 1.8 | 6.0% | 2.9d | 3.6d ago · 106× | 60% ±29 | 61% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 35% ±19 | 25 | 30% ±11 | 61% ±28 | 79% ±40 | 87% ±47 | 12h | 3.06% | 1.30% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,273.91–4,274.89 (-1.9%) | 2.6 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 37% ±25 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 11% ±7 | 36% ±24 | 48% ±44 | 58% ±68 | 4.4d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 89 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-2.5%) | 3.5 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.9d ago · 31× | 10% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±19 | 10% ±34 | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.