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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-11 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,607.58 (+4.5%) | 6.1 | 2.5% | 14h | 22.0d ago · 44× | 11% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±15 | 24% ±34 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 104 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 4,598.6–4,607.58 (+4.3%) | 5.8 | 2.4% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 15% ±25 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 15% ±24 | 35% ±54 | 35% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,415.03 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 3.9d ago · 70× | 81% ±29 | 42% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 71% ±14 | 81% ±29 | 83% ±52 | 86% | 1h | 1.98% | 2.53% | 40 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,409.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,373.69 (-0.8%) | 1.1 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 65× | 72% ±39 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 62% ±18 | 72% ±39 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 2h | 2.95% | 1.44% | 27 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,301.71 (-2.5%) | 3.3 | 6.2% | 2.9d | 3.6d ago · 106× | 45% ±26 | 61% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 35% ±19 | 25 | 10% ±6 | 47% ±25 | 69% ±41 | 79% ±57 | 1.4d | 3.06% | 1.30% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,274.89–4,278.19 (-3.0%) | 4.1 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 28% ±19 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 6% ±4 | 27% ±18 | 46% ±35 | 64% ±54 | 3.7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 138 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-3.7%) | 5.0 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.9d ago · 31× | 5% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 5% ±22 | 5% ±31 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.