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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-11 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,607.58 (+4.3%) | 5.5 | 2.7% | 15h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 13% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±17 | 27% ±39 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 4,598.6–4,607.58 (+4.1%) | 5.2 | 2.7% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 18% ±25 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 18% ±24 | 34% ±54 | 34% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 57 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,415.89 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 4,409.54 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 14.3d ago · 55× | 85% ±26 | 63% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 77% ±13 | 86% ±26 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 1h | 2.94% | 1.70% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,384.67 (-0.7%) | 0.9 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 3.8d ago · 65× | 79% ±36 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 70% ±16 | 82% ±34 | 88% ±45 | 88% | 2h | 2.95% | 1.44% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,302.88 (-2.6%) | 3.2 | 6.3% | 3.0d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 45% ±26 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 10% ±6 | 46% ±25 | 69% ±41 | 79% ±56 | 1.4d | 3.08% | 1.29% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,269.4–4,279.69 (-3.1%) | 3.9 | 4.4% | 1.6d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 27% ±18 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 6% ±4 | 27% ±18 | 45% ±34 | 63% ±55 | 4.0d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 142 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-3.8%) | 4.8 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 5% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±12 | 5% ±22 | 5% ±31 | > 7d | — | — | 77 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.